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Richard Crim's avatar

Oh BRILLIANT, just brilliant. Wonderful analysis written up perfectly for the moment.

I would add this to your calculations. TWO BILLION people are going to die over the next 10 years. Probably 4 billion by 2050.

The "Climate Crisis" is finally here and it's SO much worse than we thought it was going to be. We are at +1.6°C over baseline in 2024 and so far 2025 has been hotter still.

The Rate of Warming has accelerated to around +0.36°C PER DECADE.

By 2035 we WILL be at +2°C sustained and on our way to +3°C by 2050.

Just last month the the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) Exeter released a report on the effects of Climate Change. It hugely increases the estimate of risk to global economic wellbeing from climate change impacts such as fires, flooding, droughts, temperature rises and nature breakdown. It states in plain unequivocal language what the professional RISK MANAGEMENT experts now think.

"At +3°C or more of heating by 2050, there could be more than 4 billion deaths, significant sociopolitical fragmentation worldwide, failure of states (with resulting rapid, enduring, and significant loss of capital), and extinction events."

They find that.

"Unfortunately, many high-profile, public climate change risk assessments are significantly underestimating risk because they exclude many of the real-world impacts of climate change, such as the impact of tipping points, extreme events, migration, sea level rise, human health impacts or geopolitical risk."

"Furthermore, they calculate ongoing economic growth, even in a hothouse world, with climate damages being lower than growth assumptions. These results conflict with scientific predictions of significantly reduced human habitability from climate change."

“These (mainstream) risk assessments are precisely wrong, rather than being roughly right.”

At +2.0°C of warming they forecast.

"2 billion deaths. Breakdown of some critical ecosystem services and Earth systems. Major extinction events in multiple geographies. Ocean circulation severely impacted. Severe socio-political fragmentation in many regions, with low lying regions lost. Heat and water stress drive involuntary mass migration of billions. Catastrophic mortality events from disease, malnutrition, thirst and conflict."

Now, recast your political analysis through the lens of this overarching CLIMATE APOCALYPSE that's unfolding. What becomes absolutely clear is that.

The ENDGAME has started.

Some people already know it. They are trying VERY hard to keep the majority of us from understanding that.

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Richard ball's avatar

They found a cheap way to buy a country - a big one . Trump always cheats those working for him - and if he were to disappear , a war of underlings will follow . It looks bad no matter how it plays .

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